Land Use and Ecosystem Service Dynamics: A Temporal Analysis of ESDR Influencing Factors

Land use patterns significantly impact the provision of ecosystem services. This study examines the evolving influence of land use composition on the Ecosystem Service Delivery Ratio (ESDR) for carbon sequestration and water yield services across three distinct years: 2010, 2020, and 2030.

In 2010, the proportion of land dedicated to cropland, forestland, grassland, water bodies, and artificial surfaces exhibited a strong correlation with the ESDR for carbon sequestration services. By 2020, a shift was observed, with the ratio of water bodies, artificial surfaces, and bare land demonstrating a high explanatory power for the ESDR of water yield services. Looking ahead to 2030, our analysis suggests that the proportion of cropland, forestland, grassland, water bodies, and artificial surfaces will remain significant factors influencing the ESDR for both water yield and carbon sequestration services.

These findings underscore the dynamic relationship between land use and ecosystem service provision over time. Understanding these temporal trends is crucial for informing sustainable land management practices and ensuring the long-term provision of vital ecosystem services.